%0 Journal Article %A John C. Bogle %A Michael W. Nolan, Jr %A Aimee Picchi %T Practical Applications of Occam’s Razor Redux %D 2016 %R 10.3905/pa.2016.3.4.151 %J Practical Applications %P 1-5 %V 3 %N 4 %X Occam’s Razor Redux: Establishing Reasonable Expectations for Financial Market Returns John C Bogle Michael W Nolan Jr In 1991, when legendary Vanguard Group Founder Jack Bogle introduced his “simple,” three-factor approach to predicting equity returns— Investing in the 1990s —he wrote, “Its accuracy remains only to be demonstrated, and time will tell.”Twenty-five years later, Bogle and co-author Michael Nolan, Jr., Senior Investment Analyst at Vanguard’s Bogle Financial Markets Research Center , revisited the original research.Bogle’s revisit—and his outlook for the next decade—has drawn coverage from The Wall Street Journal , Business Insider , and other business publications, with The Wall Street Journal’s Jason Zweig advising readers to emulate Bogle’s approach and long-term view.TOPICS: Factor-based models, simulations %U https://pa.pm-research.com/content/iijpracapp/3/4/1.9.full.pdf